Friday, December 20, 2013

Good Form Preview - Friday Night @ HQ

The Game Plan for Melton with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).
Best Bet ($100 Win)
(Race 10 No.3 Jean Baptiste)  $2.90 – Click here to bet on this horse now
This bloke has shown plenty of ability and toughness since arriving in Australia four runs back. He is a quick beginner and I think he will lead tonight in the small field and be extremely hard to beat.

Best Value ($25 Each Way)
(Race 2 No.12 Empire Earl)  $8 – Click here to bet on this horse now
This guy has been flying since arriving in Australia from NZ with two wins and a second place from his three starts. This is his toughest test tonight and he has to overcome a tricky second row draw but he looks to have loads of talent and should run a big race tonight at a decent price.  

Money Races
Race 3 Flexi First 4’s ($50) – Click here to bet on this race now
7/ 1,6,9/ 1,6,9/ 1,5,6,8,9,10 $30 gets 125%
1,6,9/ 7/ 1,6,9/ 1,5,6,8,9,10 $20 gets 83.33%

Race 4 Flexi Trifecta ($50) – Click here to bet on this race now
3,8/ 1,3,8/ 1,2,3,5,8 $50 gets 416.67%

Race 7 Flexi Trifecta ($50) – Click here to bet on this race now
4,10/ 2,4,10/ 2,3,4,5,6,7,9,10,12 $50 gets 156.25%

Race 8 Flexi First 4’s ($50) – Click here to bet on this race now
7,9/ 7,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 1,2,4,5,6,8 $30 gets 50%
7,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,8/ 7,9/ 1,2,4,5,6,8 $20 gets 33.33%
Quaddie Click here to bet on the Quaddie now
3,8/ 1,2,4,12/ 1,4,8/ 2,4,10 $100 gets 138.89%

The Game Plan for Melton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
We’ve kicked off with a bit of a bang with Good Form founder Jason Bonnington on holidays so hopefully it can continue into tonight’s program at trots HQ. We will be playing with a relatively small Game Plan but in saying that it looks a terrific punting program and there should be plenty of value in not only our Best Roughie but also the Money Race and Quaddies.

Best Bet ($100 win)
Keayang Steamer (Race 7 Number 10) $4.75 – Click here to bet on this horse now
In what essentially looks a race in two I’m more than happy to declare Keayang Steamer the best bet on the entire card tonight. He may be disadvantaged at the draws with main threat American Muscle (4) likely to find the front early, but we are talking about a Breeders Crown placegetter behind subsequent Grand Circuit winner Ideal Scott. He was also a close-up fourth in the Chariots Of Fire behind Christen Me and has knocked up winning races in Victoria. He has trialled in sizzling time around Terang recently (1:58.6, home in 55.6secs) and from the draw he is capable of hustling forward to find the spot outside the leader and from there I expect him to crush his rivals in the lane.

Best Roughie ($20 win x $30 place)
Rostevarren (Race 2 Number 10) $12 – Click here to bet on this horse now
In a pretty even trot race I think this guy is one we can pinpoint as a massive place hope that has the chance to knock his rivals out if things pan out for him. He was a super talented juvenile squaregaiter and although he hasn’t necessarily gone on to be a Group 1 open class performer, he has morphed into a consistent trotter who can be relied upon to run his usual honest race. He sat parked outside Blitzthemcalder in a 1:56.9 mile rate last week and was brave to be beaten just on 20 metres and prior to that his form was outstanding for a race like this.

The Money Race
Race 9 ($75 worth of flexi trifecta’s) – Click here to bet on this race now
This looks a terrific betting race because although there is likely to be an early burn for the top, I still think most of those in the initial fight will kick on strongly but it opens up the trifecta for a couple drawn on the back row. Armbro Higgens (6) clearly looks the horse to beat but Alina (3) is the obvious danger and to a lesser extent No Tomorrow (12), then any of Saabrina Miss (2), Arty Missy (5) or Walky Talky (9) can fill a hole.

6/3,12/2,3,5,9,12. $24 gets 300%
6/2,3,5,9,12/3,12. $16 gets 200%
3/6,12/2,3,5,9,12. $16 gets 200%
12/3,6/2,3,5,9,12. $8 gets 100%
Box Trifecta 3,6,12. $11 gets 183.33%

Quaddies (x4) Click here to bet on the Quaddie now
3/1,2,4,9,11/1,2,4,5,6,8,9/10. $52.50 gets 150%
3/1,2,4,9,11/1,2,4,5,6,8,9/2,4,13. $48.50 gets 46.19%

Star Trialler
Majorlook (Race 10 no.4) – $3.10 – Click here to bet on this horse now
Aside from Ian Montgomery declaring this fella had the potential to be his best ever horse - before his first start - he has shown plenty of that ability on the track in his first campaign.

Returning from a spell he has let rip with two impressive trial wins including a 1:57.8 (55.6secs last half) win at Bendigo followed by a 30-metre demolition of his rivals at Shepparton just last week.

There is plenty of competition in this small field but if he turns up at his best then he will be the horse to beat.

To view the sectional splits of EVERY HORSE in EVERY RACE at Melton last Friday night simply clickhere.

As a snapshot below, here are some of the star sectional performers at Melton last weekend.

Fastest Last Mile – Christen Me: 1:52.7

Fastest Last Half – Christen Me: 53.95secs
Fastest Last Quarter – Christen Me: 26.32secs

Sectional Superstar
Boyz Torque (Race 1 no.12) – $9 – Click here to bet on this horse now
To sit parked outside Regal Knight in a 1:53.2 mile rate and pull ground off him in the final quarter is no mean feat but this guy did it at 30/1 last week running home in 27.94secs.

His 55.58sec last half also suggests he is ready to win again and considering this looks a race they won't be running any 1:53 mile rate's it's a perfect chance to break his M0 despite the draw.

Speed Maps

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.