Thursday, December 26, 2013

Good Form Preview - Boxing Day @ Charlton

The Game Plan for Charlton – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Even the boys at Good Form have had a very Merry Christmas so if you are feeling as festive as us, it’s probably time to retire to the couch with a cold drink and settle in for an afternoon of trots while we smash the Poms yet again. We’ve come up with a pretty safe All Up today along with a Value Bet, a Money Race and the Quaddies.

Best Bets / All Up ($100 All Up)
Presidentialsecret (Race 1 No. 7) $1.50
There’s really only one way to put this, something would have to go horribly wrong for this guy to get beaten today. He is simply a class above his rivals as a Vicbred heat winner and semi-final runner-up behind subsequent champion Major Secret last season. He has returned in solid form with two cracking runs before never really getting into last time. No matter where Ellen Tormey decides to put him over the mile I expect him to outclass his rivals.

The Boss Man (Race 2 No. 3) $1.40
This is another case of a horse being simply too good for his rivals. The Boss Man (3) is coming out of a juvenile and three-year-old crop of squaregaiters and at stages he was right up with the best of them including Blitzthemcalder. He has trialled well for his return so it should be a matter of putting in and taking out when they cross the line.

Dieing Secret (Race 6 No. 8) $1.60
This girl returns to the Mark Thompson camp after a Vicbred Super Series placing for Emma Stewart over 12 months ago. She has trialled twice in preparation for today and both have been encouraging, expect her to work off the inside early but from there she can do it tough and still outgun them in the run home.

Best Roughie ($20 win x $30 place)
Absolute Dream (R5 No.4) $11
From the lovely trailing draw this guy should get a decent run through considering he follows out the favourite and quick beginner, Easton All Action. He has been running well at big odds in all of his last three and things should be exactly the same today. If he can run into a placing then we should make a juicy profit on the race.

The Money Race
Race 2 ($50 Flexi Trifecta)
It’s not often we play money races like this but this race looks a genuine pinch to snag the trifecta in direct order. The Boss Man (3) is as close to a good thing as you will get while Rumbustious (1) has shown plenty of ability and will have the gun run and Wicked Schemes (6) has plenty on the others. For that reason we are going to play the trifecta below.

3/1/6. $50 gets 5000%

Quaddies (x2)
1,4,5,6,7/2,3,5,6,12/8/2. $45 gets 150%
1,4,5,6,7/2,3,5,6,12/8/3,6,9. $55 gets 61.11%

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