Friday, December 27, 2013

Good Form Preview - Cobram Cup Day

The Game Plan for Cobram Cup Day with Andrew Evans (@AndrewEvansHRV).

Best Value
(Race 3 no.11 Makemcry Maori)  ($25 Each Way) $5
This guy hasn’t won for quite a while and I don’t usually like tipping horses that have to come off big handicaps but this guys last two runs have been very good against much better opposition to what he meets today. If he has a clean getaway expect him to be put into the action early and at the price of $5 he looks well over the odds to me. It’s also worth noting that he’s only start around this track yielded a win.
(Race 6 no.3 Who Broke Our Halo)  ($30W/$20P) $9
I expect this guy to find the front today a place he won from here at Cobram five runs back in a small field. He meets a stronger opposition today but he is racing better than ever and from the front looks a great chance and at $9 we can back him each way.  
(Race 6 no.11 Blissfull Hart)  ($15W/$35P) $11
This guy is a tough versatile customer who is racing in career best form at the moment. He will work around the field at some stage and look to find the spot outside the leader and if he gets there without having to do too much work he is sure to give a big sight.
(Race 7 no.2 Rakarebel)  ($50 Each Way) $9
This guy run a super race in the Yarra Valley Cup two runs back where he stuck on well to finish third after peeling out three wide at the bell. Last start he was disappointing when well supported at Melton but had a few things go against him. He returns to standing start conditions today and if he begins as well as he did at Yarra Valley today he should position up in a striking position and be right in the finish.   
Best Roughie
(Race 4 no.8 Ortabe Good)  ($20W/$55P) $15
This guy has really caught the eye two runs back at Shepparton where he flew home late after getting held up back in the field. Then last start he proved the Shepparton run was no fluke sustaining a three wide run without cover for the last lap to finish just off the placings. He looks a strong chance of holding the back of the leader and favourite today and from there looks a great each way proposition.
Quaddies (x4)
1,2,8/ 9/ 1,3,5,8,10,11/ 2,4 $45 gets 125%
6,7/ 9/ 1,3,5,8,10,11/ 2,4 $15 gets 62.50%
1,2,8/ 9/ 1,3,5,8,10,11/ 1,7,9,10 $30 gets 41.67%
6,7/ 9/ 1,3,5,8,10,11/ 1,7,9,10 $10 gets 20.83%

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