Thursday, August 28, 2014

Good Form Preview - Thursday Night @ Echuca

The Game Plan for Echuca – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
This is an extraordinarily tough programme so I’m going to have some fun with it rather than try to make a fortune. If there’s one bet I’m keen on it is Neishars Jet in the last but the Quaddies look a nice way to play as well.

Best Bet ($40 Win)
Neishars Jet (Race 8 no. 10) $3.30
I have been on this fillies trail for a little while now and her runs through a fairly strong 3YO series were really full of merit. The draw isn’t going to make things easy for her but she’ll probably start better than the $3.30 marked in today’s paper and she should give us a great run for our cash.

Next Best Bets ($20 Win)
Black Jasmin (Race 4 no. 7) $4
Consistency is the key for this mare. It’s true that she doesn’t break through out of turn (1 win from 64 starts!) but she’s racing well and finds the right rave tonight.

Lights And Music (Race 7 no. 10) $3.60
This guy has a solid class edge on his rivals here and should be advantaged by a solid speed throughout.

The Money Race – Race 2 (Flexi Trifectas for $60)
Smiling Spirit (1) has no excuses tonight as he should really lead and win and given there are limited chances to share the podium with him this looks a nice exotic opportunity on an otherwise very difficult card.

1/ 2,9/ 2,9,11. $40 gets 1000%
1/ 2,9/ 3,7. $20 gets 500%

The Quads (x 2 for $160)
1,2,5,7/ 6,8,9,10/ 1,2,5,7,10/ 10. $80 gets 100%
1,2,5,7/ 6,8,9,10/ 1,2,5,7,10/ 2,7. $80 gets 50%

Good Form Preview - Thursday @ Maryborough

The Game Plan for Maryborough – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Bets ($50 win)
William John (Race 1 No.4) $2.20
In what shapes as a genuine race in two, this guy has no question marks hanging over his head whatsoever. He had to park last time but wasn’t too bad in a bit of a blanket finish and this looks a drop in grade. Add to that the fact that he has been knocking on the door with a strong second behind Ainsdale three starts ago and a handy fourth at Ballarat and this really does look the race where he can break his maiden status.

Ya Messin (Race 7 No.1) $4.80
This guy was thoroughly unlucky first-up, he was locked away until seeing some space in the straight however after checking another horse he lost momentum and just didn’t have time to work into things late. He showed talent in his debut preparation when not far off Madison Louise and Clark Griswold and despite not having a whole heap of early speed, it’s not an overly quick front line so if he doesn’t get shuffled back early, he will be really hard to beat.

Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Mairhed Fallen (Race 5 No.11) $10
This filly has the awkward draw on debut but this isn’t the strongest race and I was pretty impressed by her recent trial at Ballarat. She whipped around them mid-trial and went to the line under very little asking from David Murphy so while the time was pretty slow, there is definitely some ability there and at the odds she is worth a little punt.

Lisandros (Race 6 No.10) $10
This colt may have been beaten 10 metres on debut but I was impressed with the way he continued to find the line. He had trialled pretty well prior to that run and although there are a couple of unknowns, this race doesn’t look any stronger so with natural improvement he will be right in the money today.

Quaddies (x2 worth $100)
1,6,8,9,11/1,2,5,8,9,10/1/2,8,11. $60 gets 66.66%
1,6,8,9,11/1,2,5,8,9,10/4,5,6,8/2,8,11. $40 gets 11.11%

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Good Form Preview - Wednesday Night @ Bendigo

The Game Plan for Bendigo – with Blake Redden (@BlakeRedden)
Best Value ($10 win x $15 place)
Dizzyinterest (Race 1 No.12) $4
This is a terrifically talented mare who won the Breed For Speed Bronze Series Final in tough style earlier this year but since then she has been pretty troublesome in her gait however first-up from a freshen, she should be cherry-ripe for this, so even from the second row, she can do some work and still be too good.

Mind The Wire (Race 5 No.8) $8.50
The main reason we are looking to this guy is due to the speed map which should play into his hands perfectly. Xavier Jack (1) can hold the top and give this guy a lovely trail into the race and while he doesn’t have a whole heap of change up speed, the aforementioned horse generally gets rolling from the half mile which suits Mind The Wire (8) down to the ground.

Coast Warning (Race 2 No.10) $6
This guy is pretty well-bred being a half-brother to the very quick Coastal and he showed good ability in his debut prep. Which saw him scale to the heights of taking on Padrisimo in the Premiere Stakes. He should have come on for that experience and returning from a solid spell, expect him to be a bit stronger and more race savvy and while there is a pretty big boom on Somebeach (2), on an each way basis it’s hard to ignore this guy.

Best Roughie ($5 win x $20 place)
Never Let Me Go (Race 4 No.9) $21
The scratching has really aided this mare’s chances given she will now trail out the likely leader and odds-on favourite in Smiling High (1). While he will be hard to beat, he hasn’t put big margins on his rivals in either of his past couple so given Never Let Me Go (9) hasn’t had the clearest of passages in her last couple of runs, this looks her chance to run a big race.

The Money Race
Race 3 ($50 worth of Flexi Trifectas)
This looks a nice punting race because there are five horses who rate clear above their rivals, headed by Ynobe Coby (1) from the gun alley, Beau Ciel (3) and Majorama (6). The plan is to anchor those three heavily but save on Niquero (8) and Funny Car (9) if they run anywhere in the placings.

Boxed 1,3,6. $24 gets 400%
1,3,6,/1,3,6/8,9. $12 gets 100%
1,3,6/8,9/1,3,6. $9 gets 75%
8,9/1,3,6/1,3,6. $5 gets 41.66%

The Quaddies (x4 worth $130)
1,6,7,8/6,8/2,3,8,9/1,4,5,10. $50 gets 39.06%
1,6,7,8/6,8/2,3,8,9/6,7,9. $24 gets 25%
1,6,7,8/2,7,9,10/2,3,8,9/1,4,5,10. $32 gets 12.5%
1,6,7,8/2,7,9,10/2,3,8,9/6,7,9. $24 gets 12.5%

Good Form Preview - Wednesday @ Horsham

The Game Plan for Horsham – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Season 2103/14 is winding down fast & Good Form 2.0 is only 5 days away but until the brand new website with all its features is launched we still have to find a way to make a coin. In that spirit, I’m targeting one race for both my Best Bet & my Best Value while also focussing on 2 Money Races & 4 pretty expensive Quads.

Best Bet ($30 Win)
Whats The Big Idea (Race 5 no. 2) $3.80
This bloke isn’t the most reliable commodity going around but he gets conditions beautifully to suit here as he should lead them around over a short-course trip in a race with moderate pressure on a leaders track! On that basis, this is D-Day for him & I think he’ll get the chocolates if the cards all fall his way.

Best Roughie ($10 Win $20 Place) 
Alta Tearaway (Race 5 no. 8) $12
I’ve been following this mare pretty closely at her past few runs & I’m convinced she’s going pop up and steal a race of this nature at pretty handy odds. The draw is awkward but no deal-breaker and if they run along a bit she’ll only need a clear crack at them late to be a blowout chance.

The Money Races
Race 4
Jilliby Jagger (4) may well feature in a Chariots of Fire next season so the Horsham Guineas should be well within his grasp. Beyond him there are only three horses that should fill the next three positions & while it seems simple to say I think we’ll still get well rewarded for our efforts.

4/ 3,5,6/ 3,5,6/ 3,5,6. $60 gets 1000%

Race 6
Riverboat Princess (6) is a nice little horse who’ll probably win this race but I’ve also got respect for French Lesson (1) and Glenferrie Breeze (7) & think between them they should comprise the Trick. I’ve made some provisions if they don’t but it would be best for us if the big guns dominated here.

6/ 1,7/ 1,7. $20 gets 1000%
1,7/ 6/ 1,7. $10 gets 500%
6/ 1,7/ 3,5. $16 gets 400%
1,7/ 6/ 3,5. $4 gets 100%

The Quads (x4 for $180)
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 4/ 11. $72 gets 800%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 4/ 1,8,12,13. $72 gets 200%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 2,3,7,8,10/ 11. $18 gets 40%
2,5,8/ 1,6,7/ 2,3,7,8,10/ 1,8,12,13. $18 gets 10%


Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Good Form Preview - Tuesday Night @ Bray

The Game Plan for Ballarat – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)
Best Bet ($30 Win)
Vapar Grin (Race 4 no. 8) $2.80

The Money Races
Race 3 (Flexi Trifectas for $60)
1,4,5/ 1,4,5/ 1,4,5,10. $48 gets 400%
1,4,5/ 1,4,5/ 2,3,8,9. $12 gets 50%

Race 6 (Flexi First 4 for $100)
6,7,10/ 6,7,10/ 5,6,7,10,11/ 3,5,6,7,9,10,11. $100 gets 138.89%

The Quads (x4 for $160)
1,4,6,7/ 6,7,10/ 9/ 5,6. $60 gets 250%
1,4,6,7/ 6,7,10/ 9/ 4,7. $24 gets 100%
1,4,6,7/ 6,7,10/ 6,7/ 5,6. $60 gets 125%
1,4,6,7/ 6,7,10/ 6,7/ 4,7. $16 gets 33.33%