Good Form w/ Hutchy & Polster + Melton Sectionals

The Game Plans for Bendigo 

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

                         

The Money Races

Race 4

It’s not too often I get enthused about a standing start race but I really like the look of this one with Tyler Bromac, Flash Of Freedom and Dual Agent Tabman sure to dominate.

Below is how I’m playing with a $100 total spend.

Trifecta: 3/ 1,4/ 1,4.  $25 gets you 1250%

First Four: 3/ 1,4/ 1,4/ 2,5,6,7,8.  $30 gets you 300%

First Four: 3/ 1,4/ 2,5,6,7,8/ 1,4.  $20 gets you 200%

Trifecta: 1,4/ 3/ 1,4.  $10 gets you 500%.

First Four: 1,4/ 3/ 1,4/ 2,5,6,7,8.  $10 gets you 100%

First Four: 1,4/ 3/ 2,5,6,7,8/ 1,4.  $5 gets you 50%

Race 6

My speed map has Algranco Alive leading early before handing up to Easton All Action and with no real pressure in the affair they look a great value base for trifectas and first fours.

Below is how I’m playing with a $100 total spend.

Trifecta: 5/ 4/ Field.  $15 gets you 166.66%

Trifecta: 5/ Field/ 4.  $15 gets you 166.66%

First Four: 5/ 4/ Field/ Field.  $20 gets you 27.77%

First Four: 5/ Field/ 4/ Field.  $20 gets you 27.77%.

Trifecta: 4,9,10,11/ 5/ Field.  $15 gets you 40.54%

First Four: 4,9,10,11/ 5/ Field/ Field .  $15 gets you 5.20%

Best Bet

Easton All Action (Race 6 no. 5) $3.70

Liked her first up run behind Gumdrops (winner again since) at Maryborough where she did work in the final circuit and battled on well for third at the end of a 56.9 final half. She will be fitter, gets Chris Alford, looks like getting an easy lead off Algrancos Icon and with a lack of any pressure in the race she will take a power of running down. 

Quaddies (x8)

3/ 1,6,7/ 5/ 11.  $20 gets you 666.66%

3/ 1,6,7/ 5/ 4,6,8,10,12. $25 gets you 166.66%

3/ 1,6,7/ 4,9,10,11/ 11. $5 gets you 41.66%

3/ 1,6,7/ 4,9,10,11/ 4,6,8,10,12. $10 gets you 16.66%

1,4/ 1,6,7/ 5/ 11. $10 gets you 166.66%

1,4/ 1,6,7/ 5/ 4,6,8,10,12. $15 gets you 50%

1,4/ 1,6,7/ 4,9,10,11/ 11. $5 gets you 20.83%

1,4/ 1,6,7/ 4,9,10,11/ 4,6,8,10,12. $10 gets you 8.33%

Bill Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

Best Bet

Tyler Bromac (Race 4 no.3) ($1.60)
This guy has been flying of late and I’m confident there’s plenty more Melton wins in store for him so it would be something of a shock if he didn’t win tonight.

Best Value

Star Style (Race 2 no. 4) ($5)
She was excellent at Cobram two starts back before being trapped wide last time out. She’s got the potential to win much better races than this so expect you a great run with ordinary luck tonight as well.

Money Races

Race 1
Tend to think that there are three standout winning chances in this race that should go close to fighting out the finish but concede that anything can finish third so playing for value with the following Trifecta.

1,5,6/ 1,5,6,10/ Field. $63 gets 100%.

Race 5
I’m very confident Incoming Flight (4) will find the front here but Radiant River (6) is the class runner of the race and I just think he’ll be a bit too good for them. The way I see the race being run, peg-line runners will come into play & i see them filling the places behind my top tip so here’s how I’m playing.

6/ 1,4,8/ 1,4,8. $60 gets 1000%.

 

Good Form Preview - Tuesday @ Quest

THE GAME PLAN for Shepparton – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

                         

The Money Race

On a really tough night I think we’ll have to be very patient and have a good crack at Race 8 with Major Megs and Im Supersonic the ones to base exotics around.

Here’s how I’m playing with $100 total spend. 

Race 8

Trifecta: 6,9/ 6,9/ 1,2,3,4,7,8.  $35 gets you 291.66%

Trifecta: 6,9/ 1,2,3,4,7,8/ 6,9.  $15 gets you 125%

First Four: 6,9/ 6,9/ 1,2,3,4,7,8/ 1,2,3,4,7,8.  $35 gets you 58.33%

First Four: 6,9/ 1,2,3,4,7,8/ 6,9/ 1,2,3,4,7,8.  $15 gets you 25%

Quaddie

1,2,3,4,5,6,8/ 2,3,4,5,8/ 1,6,7,10,12,13/ 1,2,4,8,9,10.  $100 gets you 7.93%

Good Form Monday - Logan Park Warragul

The Game Plan for Warragul – with Jason Bonnington (@jasonbonnington)

It’s a pretty tricky day @ Logan Park but if we play our cards right there’s still some folding to be made.

Money Races

Race 1

A lot of runners engaged here are really struggling for one reason or another but Shapely Hips (1) & In The Present (5) are both actually going pretty well and were both impressive enough at their most recent starts to suggest they’ll fight this race out today. I’m playing two Trifectas for a total spend of $60 as outlined below.

1,5/ 1,5/ 2,3,6,8,10,11. $36 gets 300%.

1,5/ 2,3,6,8,10,11/ 1,5. $24 gets 200%.

Race 5

This is another race where you can put a pen through a fair few runners and given it’s over the short course I’d be surprised if anything emerges from the back to run into a placing so playing around with some Trifecta combinations below in the hope of snaring some value.

3,5/ 1,3,4,5/ 1,3,4,5. $24 gets 200%.

1,3/ 1,3,4,5/ 1,3,4,5. $12 gets 100%.

3,5/ 1,3,4,5/ 6,8,9,10. $24 gets 100%.

Best Value

The Silver Dart (Race 5 no. 4) ($6.50)

This bloke has a terrible figure formline next to his name but he thrives when able to lead over the sprint trip on tight tracks; as evidenced by his pillar to post win here back in August. He’s a quick beginner and if he finds the top you’re in for a pretty good ride but if he doesn’t you’re in trouble!

Obama (Race 7 no. 6) ($4.50)

This guy was going really well before taking on some big guns at Melton last time out. The tight track may be slightly against him but the small field is ideal and he should give you an Each Way run in today’s final race.

Quaddie

1,3,6,8,9/ 3,4,5/ Field/ 2,4,5,6,8. $100 gets 19.05%.

Good Form Preview - Stawell Cup Sunday

THE GAME PLAN for Stawell – with Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

The Money Race

Race 2 today looks a great one to target with trifectas and first fours as Tannissa, Alta Antonio and Hector Barbossa look head and shoulders above their opposition. Below is how I’m playing with $100 total spend.  We won’t make enough to retire but with the right results a tidy profit should be shown.

Race 2

Trifecta: Boxed 7,8,9.  $30 gets you 500%.
Trifecta: 7,8,9/ 7,8,9/ 2,10.  $20 gets you 166.66%.
First Four: 7,8,9/ 7,8,9/ 7,8,9/ 2,10.  $30 gets you 250%.
First Four: 7,8,9/ 7,8,9/ 2,10/ 7,8,9.  $20 gets you 166.66%.

Quaddie

1,6,7/ 3,4,5,6,9,10,12/ 1,2,3,5,6,9,10,11/ 1,2,3,4,9.  $100 gets you 11.9%

Good Form Saturday - Double Shot @ Bray

The Game Plans for Ballarat

Bill ‘Hutchy’ Hutchison (@Hutchysays)

Bookmaker, broadcaster & enduring harness legend Bill ‘Hutchy’ Hutchison has a singular philosophy on the punt: play for value. After decades of framing markets, Hutchy rarely falls into short-priced favourites and his massive, nationwide following will attest to the form genius’ uncanny ability to uncover value on an eerily regular basis.

 

Today, Hutchy joins the Good Form team in a permanent role, with his Game Plans now appearing every Wednesday and Saturday and his thoughts on punting a regular feature of the blog.

Below is how he’s playing @ Bray Raceway tonight!

Best Bet

Mister Independent (Race 6 no. 4) ($2.50)

As mentioned above, I’m not into declaring short priced favourites but I’m confident this guy would have beaten Stoned On Jazz last start if he’d applied more pressure in the run & while his record of two wins from 20 starts doesn’t look flash I reckon he’s got the potential to be a real quality trotter.

Best Value

Isabella Delacour (Race 1 no. 2) ($12)

My modus operandi is finding horses at better odds than they should be and this mare certainly fits the bill. She drew the second line, was forced wide & stuck on strongly last start and given she draws the front line this time around the double-figure quote seems generous indeed.

Mickey Mac (Race 5 no. 9) ($10)

One of the veteran members of the Emma Stewart team, this bloke produced a pretty good run in a strong stand start affair at Melton last time out and with Gavin Lang in the cart he should get every possible chance here. Don’t leave him out of your Quaddies tonight.

Quick Armbro (Race 9 no. 5) ($7)

He has been going great guns opposing much better fields than what he meets tonight. Importantly, he also draws to find the lead here and he’ll be awfully difficult to beat if he finds the top.

Best Roughie

Rodrigo (Race 7 no. 8)

Former Kiwi pacer Kotare Roland is nearly a good thing in the feature race of the night but I still advise punters to respect Rodrigo. A sit-sprint specialist with more than his fair share of ability, he draws for a soft trip and will only need some luck when it matters to figure in the finish.

Quaddie

2,6/ 2,4,9/ 4,7,8,10,11/ 1,3,8,9. $100 gets 83.33%.

Michael Polster (@MickPolster)

Best Trifectas

Looks a favourite’s night with a number of short-priced commodities so I think the best way to extract some cash out of the meeting is via Trifectas. I’ve isolated four races in which to play and I’ll be spending $50 on each for a total outlay of $200.

Race 2

11,12/ 11,12/ 1,4,5,6,8,9.  $38 gets you 316.66%
11,12/ 1,4,5,6,8,9/ 11,12.  $12 gets you 100%

Race 4

2/ 5,6/ 5,6,8.  $50 gets you 1250%

Race 7

3/ 5/ 1,8,9,10,11.  $15 gets you 300%
3/ 1,8,9,10,11/ 5.  $15 gets you 300%
1,5,9,11/ 3/ 1,5,8,9,10,11.  $20 gets you 100%

Race 8

7/ 2,3,4,5/ 2,3,4,5.  $40 gets you 333.33%
3,4,5/ 7/ 2,3,4,5/ 2,3,4,5.  $10 gets you 111.111%

Quaddies (x4)

2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 4/ 3,5.  $50 gets you 416.66%

2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 4/ 1,9,11.  $20 gets you 111.11%
2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 6,7,11/ 3,5.  $15 gets you 41.66%
2/ 2,4,5,6,8,9/ 6,7,11/ 1,9,11.  $15 gets you 27.77%